Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.685613 1.942965 2.226123 2.560765 2.945469 3.373923 3.887426
2025-05-11 1.328435 1.665013 2.066779 2.581642 3.224094 3.999662 5.007795
2025-05-18 1.044853 1.408031 1.873196 2.512556 3.368921 4.477208 6.022453
2025-05-25 0.821915 1.181108 1.670792 2.386947 3.408244 4.813859 6.899045
2025-06-01 0.689611 1.049840 1.569221 2.372309 3.583824 5.345745 8.108884
2025-06-08 0.579494 0.929706 1.460995 2.325138 3.697042 5.794568 9.254191
2025-06-15 0.531306 0.894291 1.471175 2.453917 4.088627 6.704790 11.223299
2025-06-22 0.473698 0.833607 1.430799 2.492727 4.337190 7.416587 12.967002
2025-06-29 0.414848 0.761055 1.359128 2.466123 4.468088 7.945071 14.466807
2025-07-06 0.352575 0.672683 1.247063 2.351138 4.425217 8.163883 15.444457
2025-07-13 0.329683 0.652622 1.253114 2.449087 4.777482 9.123601 17.890376
2025-07-20 0.311425 0.638442 1.267450 2.563151 5.172651 10.207383 20.708100
2025-07-27 0.287916 0.612000 1.257564 2.634505 5.506439 11.240182 23.618513
2025-08-03 0.261782 0.576414 1.224861 2.655658 5.743357 12.116273 26.343996
2025-08-10 0.230484 0.525171 1.152925 2.584418 5.777462 12.583787 28.281845
2025-08-17 0.198761 0.468121 1.060544 2.455133 5.666792 12.729279 29.538180
2025-08-24 0.179973 0.437590 1.021864 2.440023 5.807834 13.438745 32.157744
2025-08-31 0.161163 0.404147 0.971902 2.391478 5.864534 13.965494 34.428060
2025-09-07 0.155966 0.402886 0.996577 2.523897 6.368823 15.590152 39.546193
2025-09-14 0.145588 0.387120 0.984277 2.563798 6.652435 16.727744 43.628804
2025-09-21 0.132629 0.362762 0.947434 2.536432 6.762875 17.456772 46.781996
2025-09-28 0.116631 0.327954 0.879335 2.418179 6.621539 17.535783 48.257576
2025-10-05 0.112414 0.324614 0.892642 2.518907 7.075993 19.206335 54.218763